Arizona State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
116  Samantha Ortega FR 20:03
181  Adriana Olivas SR 20:16
303  Chelsey Totten SO 20:35
427  Jenna Maack JR 20:48
493  Cristina Juan Torres SR 20:54
722  Shaina Corbin SR 21:14
923  Kaitlin Kaluzny JR 21:29
951  Jen Owen SR 21:31
999  Hannah Benoit-Bucher FR 21:34
National Rank #37 of 339
West Region Rank #7 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 13.5%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.8%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 27.9%
Top 10 in Regional 91.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Samantha Ortega Adriana Olivas Chelsey Totten Jenna Maack Cristina Juan Torres Shaina Corbin Kaitlin Kaluzny Jen Owen Hannah Benoit-Bucher
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 715 20:09 20:23 20:50 20:52 20:29 21:08 21:30 20:24 21:34
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 802 19:55 20:17 20:46 21:07 20:53 21:36 21:32
ASU Invitational 10/23 1246 21:16 21:23 21:48
Pac 12 Championships 10/30 677 20:03 20:09 20:16 20:41 20:55 21:09 21:34 21:45 21:31
West Region Championships 11/13 802 20:11 20:21 20:33 20:42 21:34 21:13 21:54





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 13.5% 25.2 602 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.2 0.4
Region Championship 100% 7.1 247 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.3 25.2 19.4 15.5 13.3 8.8 6.9 3.7 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Ortega 41.3% 82.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Adriana Olivas 19.6% 111.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Chelsey Totten 13.6% 169.4
Jenna Maack 13.5% 198.9
Cristina Juan Torres 13.5% 208.1
Shaina Corbin 13.5% 235.5
Kaitlin Kaluzny 13.5% 244.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Ortega 18.2 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.2 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.4 4.1 3.8 4.1 3.9 3.6 4.1 3.9 3.4 3.4 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.2
Adriana Olivas 30.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.1
Chelsey Totten 51.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5
Jenna Maack 66.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Cristina Juan Torres 74.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Shaina Corbin 100.1
Kaitlin Kaluzny 122.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3
4 2.3% 90.6% 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.1 4
5 25.2% 29.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 17.8 7.4 5
6 19.4% 18.2% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 15.9 3.5 6
7 15.5% 0.1% 0.0 15.5 0.0 7
8 13.3% 0.1% 0.0 13.3 0.0 8
9 8.8% 8.8 9
10 6.9% 6.9 10
11 3.7% 3.7 11
12 2.4% 2.4 12
13 1.2% 1.2 13
14 0.5% 0.5 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 13.5% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.0 86.5 0.2 13.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 21.4% 2.0 0.4
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 8.2% 1.0 0.1
California 5.3% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Penn 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0